Monday, August 21, 2006

Full Circle

Support for our “mission” in Iraq is still somewhere near 35%. What that mission really is has been unclear since the first months. Looks like another shift is on the way.

As the need to disarm Iraq disappeared (Iraq does not and did not possess WMD) the focus shifted to a Wilsonian version of democratization for the Middle East and a panacea for terrorism. People naturally long to be free, in the democratic sense, we were told… all we need to do is uncork the bottle: after which, a free and democratic society will naturally arise.

Simplistic reasoning… wrong of course, but easily digested by the throngs who want an everyday guy as their commander and chief.

So here we are: countless thousands of Iraqis dead, 2500+ American soldiers dead, 20+ THOUSAND wounded all to help put an Iraqi parliament in power that unanimously resolved to support Hezbollah in their latest conflict with Israel. Yet the adminstration still maintains that operations in Iraq will reduce the likelyhood of terrorism eminating from that state.

Sounds like it couldn’t get much worse right? American’s dying to ensure Shia fundamentalists have the right to support a terrorist organization…

But wait, both the NYTs and Time Magazine online report that the administration is coming to the realization that the civil war in that country will likely preclude that outcome:

[…]an anonymous “military affairs expert” attended a White House briefing and reported: “Senior administration officials have acknowledged to me that they are considering alternatives other than democracy. Everybody in the administration is being quite circumspect, but you can sense their own concern that this is drifting away from democracy.

While I actually applaud the administrations nod to reality, it underscores the shear incompetence of our leadership.

(BTW, if you take offense to my use of the term “civil war” please suggest another term for a situation in which more than 3000 people a month are killed in sectarian violence. Iraq’s population is approx 25 million – about 8 million less than the state of California)

“The insurgency has gotten worse by almost all measures, with insurgent attacks at historically high levels,” said a senior Defense Department official who agreed to discuss the issue only on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak for attribution. “The insurgency has more public support and is demonstrably more capable in numbers of people active and in its ability to direct violence than at any point in time.”

Its too much to expect, but a sane leader would realize – since this debacle’s inception – that our presence has made the Middle East less stable; has made Iraq a far more dangerous place – not only for Iraqis but for us (as a breeding ground for anti-Americanism) and has strengthened the influence of terrorist groups around the world.

The icing on the cake is that approx 30-40% of our populace agrees with the stay-the-course mentality… As if ensuring fundamentalist rule in Iraq makes all the sacrifices of our servicemen worth it. What will they say when the administration accepts a psuedo-theocratic state where the mullah's have more influence on the populace than the president (of Iraq)?

They'll likely fall in line behind fearless leader like they always do... its the nature of insecure, authoritarian types to run back to an abusive spouse no matter what the crime.


skip sievert said...

You have made a good overview of the siutuation. No easy answers spring to mind, except maybe, Bush being deposed.? His promise of more of the same puts him in jeopardy of being the victim , and rightfuly so, of a coup here. I would imagine this has crossed his mind,being the first overthrown president in history.
No doubt more than a few people are looking at Bush right now thinking, we have to get rid of this guy. How can we.? This would be the military thinking that.
There are several ways , none of which would be very pleasant.
It can be said that our system of government has failed.
It would be fine with me if we got rid of this socalled Democracy.
I would not want any 10 Americans deciding my fate. Democracy really is a kind of Fascism, of the people, and the American people ceased being creative or smart some time ago.
We now have a religious babbler in charge. He is a lunatic, and we are led by several lunatics at present.

Anonymous said...

As to the 30-40% that will always support our incompetent leader I think a third of them just do not want to admit they were wrong.